GENGEN

14:00Sat 10 Oct

FIO

FIO

Genoa vs Fiorentina

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

GENv

FIO

Under 3.5 Goals

Genoa v Fiorentina

Italy - Serie A · 14:00

1.33odds

75%book

+2edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. The game is at Luigi Ferraris in Genoa. Referee Fabio Maresca will be in charge.

What's at stake. Genoa sit 19th on 1 point after five games, a point behind Bologna and a point clear of Venezia. A win would lift them above Bologna. Fiorentina are 17th on 4 points, level with Monza and two points clear of Bologna. A win would see them jump over Monza.

Team news. Genoa are missing Amorim, L. Colombo, E. Havel, F. Meichtry, D. Sow and L. Venturino through various injuries. L. Colombo is their main creator. Fiorentina are without A. Atta, F. Parisi and R. Sottil due to injuries.

Form. Genoa's last ten: two wins, two draws, six losses, 0.8 points a game. Their last five go L, W, D, L, L. Fiorentina have four wins, three draws, three losses in the previous ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five read D, W, W, L, L.

The numbers. At home Genoa score 1.3 and concede 1.7 in the last six, keeping one clean sheet. They average 12.2 shots (3.5 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards, with 48% possession. Fiorentina score 1.6 and concede 1.4 over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 13.4 shots (5.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards, with 43% possession.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Genoa have no wins, five draws and five losses. Five of those games went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in seven. In the last four meetings the teams drew twice and Fiorentina won twice. The most recent clash on 10 May 2026 ended 0-0, with Genoa 9 shots to 13 and 43% possession.

The read. Fiorentina to win. A tight game. Fiorentina are the stronger side on form and the table, both teams' records favour Fiorentina and the meetings also favour Fiorentina. Their goals for and against point to a tight game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 74% on the records (Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Fiorentina: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Genoa Under 1.5 goals (Fiorentina's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Genoa Over 0.5 goals (Genoa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fiorentina or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.26

GEN 3 of 5 (60%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)78.3%

Fiorentina scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa trailed or failed to win in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level

Double Chance: Draw or FiorentinaPAGE ONLY

1.35

GEN 5 of 8 (62%) · FIO 8 of 8 (100%)77.9%

Fiorentina unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level

Fiorentina (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.66

GEN 2 of 5 (40%) · FIO 6 of 6 (100%)76.3%

Fiorentina won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Genoa lost 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 3 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 3

Fiorentina or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

GEN 5 of 8 (62%) · FIO 8 of 8 (100%)75.9%

Fiorentina: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level

Fiorentina or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.75

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 4 of 8 (50%)69.1%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · rule 2: the meetings back Fiorentina: in the last 10 meetings, Fiorentina won 5 and 5 were drawn; in the last 4, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 we

Fiorentina 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

GEN 2 of 5 (40%) · FIO 4 of 8 (50%)59.2%

Fiorentina scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.12

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)94%

Genoa: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.33

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)76.9%

Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level

FIORENTINA GOALS

Fiorentina Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.28

GEN 5 of 8 (62%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)76.8%

Fiorentina scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)86.5%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.19

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)86.5%

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)73.4%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Left off the list: Genoa Under 1.5 goals (Fiorentina's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Genoa Over 0.5 goals (Genoa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.3%

Genoa goals →

Fiorentina goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GENOADLLWLLLDWL0.80 PPG

FIORENTINADWDWLLLWWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GENOA HOMExFIORENTINA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%40%FAILED TO SCORE40%5.60CORNERS A GAME3.801.60CARDS A GAME1.700.94xG1.721.47xG AGAINST1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.20POINTS A GAME0.80-1.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20-4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.40.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5

Fiorentina: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

GENOA OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

FIORENTINA OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GENOAxFIORENTINA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME2.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

GENOA 0 · 0%DRAW 5FIORENTINA 5 · 50%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-12-07Genoa 1 – 1 Fiorentina

2021-04-03Genoa 1 – 1 Fiorentina

2021-09-18Genoa 1 – 2 Fiorentina

2022-01-17Genoa 0 – 6 Fiorentina

2023-08-19Genoa 1 – 4 Fiorentina

2024-04-15Genoa 1 – 1 Fiorentina

2024-10-31Genoa 0 – 1 Fiorentina

2025-02-02Genoa 1 – 2 Fiorentina

TEAM NEWS

GENOA

Out: Amorim (Inactive), L. Colombo (Ankle Injury), E. Havel (Ankle Injury), F. Meichtry (Muscle Injury), D. Sow (Injury), L. Venturino (Knee Injury)

FIORENTINA

Out: A. Atta (Abdominal strain), F. Parisi (Knee Injury), R. Sottil (Back Injury), A. Atta (Abdominal strain), F. Parisi (Knee Injury), R. Sottil (Back Injury)

TRENDS

Genoa have scored in 60% of their games.

Fiorentina have scored in 70% of their games.

Genoa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Fiorentina kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards