RVRAY

13:00Sat 10 Oct

ATH

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

RVv

Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao

Spain - LaLiga · 13:00

1.31odds

76%book

+5edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga regular season round 8 meets on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.

What's at stake. Rayo Vallecano sit 12th on 8 points after 7 games, level with Getafe and Osasuna. A win would lift them above Getafe. Athletic Bilbao are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, level with Villarreal and Getafe. A win would take them above Villarreal.

Form. Rayo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five go D W L W L. Athletic have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five go D D W W L.

The numbers. Rayo score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. They average 11.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game, holding 49% of the ball. Athletic score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 12.9 shots (4.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, holding 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Rayo have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in five. In the last four, Athletic won three and one was drawn. The last meeting on 28 Feb 2026 ended 1-1, with Rayo 15 shots to 8, 50% of the ball and five yellow cards.

The case against. Rayo's record still gives them a 38% chance to win. Their xG points to an open game, so not everything agrees on goals.

The read. Athletic Bilbao to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Athletic Bilbao.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 79% on the records (Rayo Vallecano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Athletic Bilbao: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Rayo Vallecano Under 1.5 goals (Rayo Vallecano's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Athletic Bilbao (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Athletic Bilbao or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

RAY 5 of 6 (83%) · ATH 3 of 6 (50%)71.9%

Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level

Athletic Bilbao or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

RAY 3 of 5 (60%) · ATH 3 of 6 (50%)64.4%

Athletic Bilbao scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rayo Vallecano trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level

Athletic Bilbao (Draw No Bet)SETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.71

RAY 2 of 5 (40%) · ATH 3 of 7 (43%)60.1%

Athletic Bilbao won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Rayo Vallecano lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 41% · H2H 5 of 5 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level · Rayo Vallecano: only games in Athletic Bilbao's division · won 1, refunded 1, lost 6 · rule 2: the meetings back Athletic Bilbao: in the last 10 meetings, Rayo V

Athletic Bilbao or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.85

RAY 3 of 6 (50%) · ATH 3 of 6 (50%)52.6%

Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level · rule 2: the meetings back Athletic Bilbao: in the last 10 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Athlet

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.11

RAY 5 of 6 (83%) · ATH 6 of 6 (100%)96.1%

Rayo Vallecano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 6 of 6 · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.31

RAY 5 of 6 (83%) · ATH 5 of 6 (83%)80.7%

Rayo Vallecano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level

ATHLETIC BILBAO GOALS

Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.32

RAY 4 of 6 (67%) · ATH 6 of 6 (100%)73.4%

Athletic Bilbao scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rayo Vallecano conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAY 6 of 6 (100%) · ATH 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

Rayo Vallecano's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level

Left off the list: Rayo Vallecano Under 1.5 goals (Rayo Vallecano's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 6.8%

Rayo Vallecano goals →

Athletic Bilbao goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

RAYO VALLECANODWLWLDLLWW1.40 PPG

ATHLETIC BILBAODDWWLLLDLL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RAYO VALLECANO HOMExATHLETIC BILBAO AWAY

1.57SCORED A GAME1.172.29CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.29CORNERS A GAME6.173.20CARDS A GAME1.801.27xG1.621.76xG AGAINST1.22

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

RAYO VALLECANO 1 · 10%DRAW 2ATHLETIC BILBAO 7 · 70%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-09-21Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Athletic Bilbao

2022-01-23Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Athletic Bilbao

2022-09-17Rayo Vallecano 2 – 3 Athletic Bilbao

2023-03-05Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Athletic Bilbao

2023-12-02Rayo Vallecano 0 – 4 Athletic Bilbao

2024-05-25Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Athletic Bilbao

2024-12-01Rayo Vallecano 1 – 2 Athletic Bilbao

2025-04-13Rayo Vallecano 1 – 3 Athletic Bilbao

TRENDS

Rayo Vallecano have scored in 90% of their games.

Athletic Bilbao have scored in 60% of their games.

Rayo Vallecano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Athletic Bilbao kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

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