Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca.
What's at stake. Karmiotissa FC are 12th on 3 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Nea Salamis, level on points with Anorthosis. A win would take them above Nea Salamis. AC Omonia Nicosia are 3rd on 8 points after 4 games, 1 point behind AEL, 1 point clear of Pafos. A win would take them above AEL.
Form. Karmiotissa FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. AC Omonia Nicosia have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.
The numbers. Karmiotissa FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Karmiotissa FC average 7.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. AC Omonia Nicosia score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AC Omonia Nicosia average 14.8 shots (6.5 on target), 8.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Karmiotissa FC have won none, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and AC Omonia Nicosia won three. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2025, it finished Karmiotissa FC 0-3 AC Omonia Nicosia.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 46%.
The read. No firm call: AC Omonia Nicosia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Omonia Nicosia the likelier winners; AC Omonia Nicosia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Omonia Nicosia; the meetings favour AC Omonia Nicosia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Omonia Nicosia Over 0.5 Goals (Karmiotissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Omonia Nicosia are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Omonia Nicosia are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Karmiotissa FC 0-3 AC Omonia Nicosia (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).