Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Tolka Park, Dublin.
What's at stake. Shelbourne FC are 6th on 40 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Dundalk, 2 points clear of Galway United. A win would take them above Dundalk. Sligo Rovers FC are 10th on 23 points after 32 games, 11 points behind Drogheda United. Shelbourne FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Shelbourne FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Sligo Rovers FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Shelbourne FC score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Shelbourne FC average 14.6 shots (3.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Sligo Rovers FC score 0.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sligo Rovers FC average 9.0 shots (2.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Shelbourne FC have won five, drawn three and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Shelbourne FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2026, it finished Shelbourne FC 2-2 Sligo Rovers FC: Shelbourne FC had 22 shots to 7, 59% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 45%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Shelbourne FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shelbourne FC the likelier winners; Shelbourne FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Shelbourne FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Sligo Rovers FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 75% on the records (Sligo Rovers FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8; Shelbourne FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Shelbourne FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Shelbourne FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Shelbourne FC 1-1 Sligo Rovers FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).