Cruzeiro EC MG vs Sao Paulo FC SP

Match details. This is a Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 29 clash at Estádio Mineirão, Bello Harisanta. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. Wilton Sampaio is the referee.

What's at stake. Cruzeiro EC MG sit sixth on 45 points after 28 games, one point behind Bahia and two clear of Atletico-MG. A win would lift them above Bahia. Sao Paulo FC SP are tenth on 36 points after 28 games, two behind Coritiba and level with RB Bragantino. A win would move them above Coritiba.

Team news. Cruzeiro EC MG are missing Fabricio Bruno, Gabriel Pec, L. Sinisterra, K. Arroyo, Kenji and N. Villarreal. Sao Paulo FC SP are without N. Bosshardt, Buta, D. Duarte, Iago Borduchi, Lucas Moura and Luciano. Rafael is their first-choice keeper. Luciano is their top scorer.

Form. Cruzeiro EC MG have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game, with a recent run of W L W L W. In this competition they have gone W L W L W W. Sao Paulo FC SP have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game, their last five being L W L W W. In this competition they have gone L W L W W L.

The numbers. Cruzeiro EC MG score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, keeping one clean sheet. They average 15.4 shots (5.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% possession. Sao Paulo FC SP score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 16.6 shots (5.0 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% possession.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Cruzeiro EC MG have won three, drawn two and lost four. One of those nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four meetings Cruzeiro EC MG won one, one was drawn and Sao Paulo FC SP won two. The most recent clash on 4 Apr 2026 ended Cruzeiro EC MG 1-4 Sao Paulo FC SP, with Cruzeiro EC MG having 14 shots to 11, 64% possession and two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Cruzeiro EC MG are the form side, but the meetings favour Sao Paulo FC SP: in the last nine meetings Cruzeiro EC MG won three, Sao Paulo FC SP won four and two were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side, and their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%, with eight of the last nine meetings under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cruzeiro EC MG or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cruzeiro EC MG or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Cruzeiro EC MG 1-1 Sao Paulo FC SP (13% chance).