Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. The game is at Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires. Referee is Nazareno Arasa.
What's at stake. Huracan sit sixth on 16 points after 10 games, level with Belgrano Cordoba and Sarmiento Junin. A win would lift them above Belgrano Cordoba. Aldosivi sit thirteenth on 8 points after 10 games, one point behind Banfield and level with Racing Club. A win would push them above Banfield.
Form. Huracan have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game, with a recent run of W W D D D. In this competition they have gone W W D D D L. Aldosivi have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game, recent form W L W L L. In this competition they have gone W L W L L D.
The numbers. At home in their last five Huracan score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game, keeping three clean sheets and being shut out twice. They average 13.1 shots (2.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 53% possession. Away in their last five Aldosivi score 1.2 and concede two a game, with no clean sheets. They average 15.8 shots (5.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 43% possession.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Huracan have won four, drawn two and lost three. Three of those nine went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in two. In the last four meetings Huracan won one, two were drawn and Aldosivi won one. The most recent clash on 16 Mar 2026 ended 0-0, with Huracan having 14 shots to 12, 60% possession and five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals their for and against records suggest an open game, yet overall their meetings have over 2.5 goals in only 35% of cases. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. CA Huracan to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Huracan the likelier winners; CA Huracan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Huracan. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Huracan or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Huracan or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Huracan 1-0 CA Aldosivi (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).