Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen. The referee is J. Mertens.
What's at stake. Stroemsgodset IF are 3rd on 48 points after 23 games, 2 points behind Kongsvinger, 3 points clear of Stabaek. A win would take them above Kongsvinger. Aasane Fotball are 15th on 20 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Sogndal, 1 point clear of Raufoss. A win would take them level on points with Sogndal.
Form. Stroemsgodset IF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition Stroemsgodset IF have gone W W D W W W. Aasane Fotball have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Aasane Fotball have gone L D D D L W.
The numbers. Stroemsgodset IF score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Aasane Fotball score 1.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Stroemsgodset IF 3-0 Aasane Fotball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 86% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Stroemsgodset IF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stroemsgodset IF the likelier winners; Stroemsgodset IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stroemsgodset IF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.19, 75% on the records (Stroemsgodset IF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10; Aasane Fotball: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Stroemsgodset IF Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11 (77%). Backup: Stroemsgodset IF Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stroemsgodset IF 2-1 Aasane Fotball (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).