Newell's Old Boys vs CA Lanus
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. The referee is Dario Herrera.
What's at stake. Newell's Old Boys are 8th on 16 points after 10 games, level on points with Lanus, 3 points clear of Union Santa Fe. A win would take them above Lanus. CA Lanus are 7th on 16 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Independiente, level on points with Newells Old Boys. A win would take them above Independiente.
Team news. S. Salcedo is their centre-back. N. Goitea is their centre-back. Newell's Old Boys's line-up is confirmed. D. Aquino is their top scorer. CA Lanus's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Newell's Old Boys have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition Newell's Old Boys have gone W D D D W W. CA Lanus have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition CA Lanus have gone W W W L D L.
The numbers. Newell's Old Boys score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Newell's Old Boys average 9.4 shots (3.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CA Lanus score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Lanus average 13.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Newell's Old Boys have won eight, drawn none and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Newell's Old Boys won three and CA Lanus won one. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2026, it finished Newell's Old Boys 0-5 CA Lanus: Newell's Old Boys had 5 shots to 14, 36% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Newell's Old Boys without S. Salcedo (centre-back), N. Goitea (centre-back). CA Lanus's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Newell's Old Boys or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Newell's Old Boys; the meetings favour Newell's Old Boys. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 86% on the records (Newell's Old Boys: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Lanus: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Lanus or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Newell's Old Boys); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 CA Lanus (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).