Match details. Primera LPF. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time.
Form. Independiente Rivadavia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.
The numbers. Independiente Rivadavia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. They average 3.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 78% on the records (Independiente Rivadavia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6; Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Independiente Rivadavia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Independiente Rivadavia or Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (no result call); Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).