Match details. UEFA Nations League, League A - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Sinobo Stadium, Prague. The referee is Halil Umut Meler.
What's at stake. Czechia are 4th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with England. A win would take them above England. England are 3rd on 0 points after 1 game, 3 points behind Croatia, level on points with Czechia. A win would take them level on points with Croatia.
Form. Czechia have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Czechia have gone L. England have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition England have gone L.
The numbers. Czechia score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Czechia average 13.6 shots (4.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. England score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. England average 14.6 shots (6.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Czechia have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Jun 2021, it finished Czechia 0-1 England: Czechia had 7 shots to 5, 44% of the ball, one yellow card.
The read. England to win. Their goals for and against make England the likelier winners; England are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour England.
The bets. Best bet: England (Draw No Bet) at 1.11, rated 80% (England won 7 of 9 (draws left out); Czechia lost 5 of 8 (draws left out)). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Czechia 1-2 England (10% chance).
The agreed story. England or the draw, goals in between.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Czechia in their last internationals: lost 1-2 v Croatia. England in their last internationals: lost 2-3 v Spain (rated above them). Too few internationals to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).