MOLMDA

17:00Tue 29 Sep

FRO

Moldova vs Faroe Islands

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Nations League, League C - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Zimbru, Chisinau. The referee is Julian Weinberger.

What's at stake. Moldova are 4th on 0 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Faroe Islands. A win would take them above Faroe Islands. Faroe Islands are 3rd on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Kazakhstan, 1 point clear of Moldova. A win would take them above Kazakhstan.

Form. Moldova have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Moldova have gone L W. Faroe Islands have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Faroe Islands have gone D.

The numbers. Moldova score 0.6 and concede 3.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Moldova average 6.8 shots (1.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 32% of the ball. Faroe Islands score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Faroe Islands average 8.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Moldova have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 10 Sep 2023, it finished Moldova 1-0 Faroe Islands.

The case against. Moldova's record still gives them 34% to win.

The read. Faroe Islands to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Faroe Islands the likelier winners; Faroe Islands are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Faroe Islands.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Moldova 0-2 Faroe Islands (11% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Faroe Islands the favourite), a tight game.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Moldova in their last internationals: lost 0-2 at Slovakia. Faroe Islands in their last internationals: drew 1-1 v Kazakhstan. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Faroe Islands win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.45

FRO 3 of 5 (60%) · MDA 9 of 10 (90%)59.2%

Faroe Islands: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Faroe Islands or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

FRO 3 of 5 (60%) · MDA 8 of 10 (80%)47.7%

Faroe Islands: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Moldova: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 1 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Faroe Islands or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · FRO 0 of 5 (0%)40.3%

Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faroe Islands: the bet landed in 0 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

MDA 10 of 10 (100%) · FRO 5 of 5 (100%)82%

Moldova: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faroe Islands: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · FRO 1 of 5 (20%)51%

Moldova: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faroe Islands: over 1.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

FAROE ISLANDS GOALS

Faroe Islands Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.47

FRO 3 of 5 (60%) · MDA 9 of 10 (90%)59.2%

Faroe Islands scored in 3 of 5 away · Moldova conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.14

MDA 9 of 10 (90%) · FRO 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%

Moldova: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faroe Islands: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

MDA 4 of 10 (40%) · FRO 4 of 5 (80%)58.6%

Moldova: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faroe Islands: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 49% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 11.4%

Moldova goals →

Faroe Islands goals ↓

0-06%

1-04%

2-02%

3-00.6%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-110%

1-110%

2-14%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.0%

0-211%

1-210%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-38%

1-37%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-44%

1-44%

2-42%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-52%

1-51%

2-50.6%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MOLDOVAWLLLLLDLLL0.40 PPG

FAROE ISLANDSLWLWWWLLWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MOLDOVA HOMExFAROE ISLANDS AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.203.40CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.50CORNERS A GAME4.252.00CARDS A GAME1.500.50xG1.263.33xG AGAINST1.14

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MOLDOVA 1 · 25%DRAW 2FAROE ISLANDS 1 · 25%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-03-25Moldova 1 – 1 Faroe Islands

2021-09-07Moldova 1 – 2 Faroe Islands

2023-03-24Moldova 1 – 1 Faroe Islands

2023-09-10Moldova 1 – 0 Faroe Islands

TRENDS

Moldova have scored in 50% of their games.

Faroe Islands have scored in 70% of their games.

Moldova kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards