Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Recoleta FC
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo. The referee is Alipio Colman.
What's at stake. Sportivo San Lorenzo are 12th on 1 point after 11 games, 6 points behind Deportivo Recoleta. Recoleta FC are 11th on 7 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Rubio NU, 6 points clear of Club Sp. San Lorenzo. A win would take them above Rubio NU.
Form. Sportivo San Lorenzo have won none, drawn none and lost ten of their last ten, 0.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Sportivo San Lorenzo have gone L L L L L L. Recoleta FC have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Recoleta FC have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. Sportivo San Lorenzo score 0.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sportivo San Lorenzo average 12.2 shots (2.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Recoleta FC score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Recoleta FC average 12.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Sportivo San Lorenzo have won one, drawn two and lost four. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Recoleta FC won two. The last time they met, on 25 Jul 2026, it finished Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-1 Recoleta FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Sportivo San Lorenzo's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Recoleta FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Recoleta FC the likelier winners; Recoleta FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Recoleta FC; the meetings favour Recoleta FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-2 Recoleta FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).