ROMROU

19:45Mon 28 Sep

BIH

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Nations League, League B - 2. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Națională, Bucharest. The referee is Luis Miguel Branco Godinho.

What's at stake. Romania are 4th on 0 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Poland. A win would take them above Poland. Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 1 point after 1 game, 2 points behind Sweden, level on points with Poland. A win would take them above Sweden.

Form. Romania have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Romania have gone L. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Bosnia & Herzegovina have gone D.

The numbers. Romania score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Romania average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Bosnia & Herzegovina score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bosnia & Herzegovina average 10.3 shots (2.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Romania have won one, drawn none and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Nov 2025, it finished Romania 1-3 Bosnia & Herzegovina: Romania had 9 shots to 16, 41% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Romania 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Romania the favourite), a tight game.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Romania in their last internationals: lost 1-2 at Sweden. Bosnia & Herzegovina in their last internationals: drew 0-0 at Poland. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

ROU 8 of 10 (80%) · BIH 5 of 7 (71%)88.2%

Romania: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 91% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

ROMANIA GOALS

Romania Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.32

ROU 8 of 10 (80%) · BIH 5 of 7 (71%)55.8%

Romania scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina conceded in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA GOALS

Bosnia & Herzegovina Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

BIH 5 of 7 (71%) · ROU 8 of 10 (80%)59.5%

Bosnia & Herzegovina scored in 5 of 7 away · Romania conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.41

ROU 5 of 10 (50%) · BIH 6 of 7 (86%)89.2%

Romania: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.32

ROU 7 of 10 (70%) · BIH 6 of 7 (86%)77.2%

Romania: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

ROU 8 of 10 (80%) · BIH 5 of 7 (71%)63.6%

Romania: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina: the bet landed in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 61% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ROU 7 of 8 (88%) · BIH 5 of 6 (83%)86.1%

Romania's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bosnia & Herzegovina's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Romania or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Bosnia & Herzegovina or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Romania or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Bosnia & Herzegovina or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.1%

Romania goals →

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals ↓

0-011%

1-012%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-27%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ROMANIALWLWDWLWLL1.30 PPG

BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINAWLDWDDLWLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ROMANIA HOMExBOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.38CORNERS A GAME3.332.00CARDS A GAME3.002.00xG0.731.08xG AGAINST1.19

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

ROMANIA 1 · 25%DRAW 0BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 3 · 75%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-06-07Romania 0 – 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

2022-09-26Romania 4 – 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

2025-03-21Romania 0 – 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

2025-11-15Romania 1 – 3 Bosnia & Herzegovina

TRENDS

Romania have scored in 80% of their games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina have scored in 80% of their games.

Romania kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards