BELBEL

19:45Mon 28 Sep

FRA

FRA

Belgium vs France

CLASS A

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DOUBLE CHANCE

Class A

BELv

FRA

Double Chance: Draw or France

Belgium v France

International - UEFA… · 19:45

1.27odds

79%book

-5edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Nations League, League A - 2. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Roi Baudouin, Brussels. The referee is Rade Obrenovic.

What's at stake. Belgium are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with France. France are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Belgium, 3 points clear of Türkiye. A win would take them above Belgium.

Form. Belgium have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Belgium have gone W. France have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition France have gone W.

The numbers. Belgium score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Belgium average 19.4 shots (7.2 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. France score 2.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. France average 17.5 shots (6.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. France have won all of the last five meetings. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, France won four. The last time they met, on 14 Oct 2024, it finished Belgium 1-2 France: Belgium had 20 shots to 14, 46% of the ball, nine yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Belgium's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. France to win. France are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour France; the meetings favour France.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or France at 1.27, rated 72% (France unbeaten in 8 of 10; Belgium failed to win 5 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17 (79%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Belgium 1-2 France (8% chance).

The agreed story. France or the draw, goals in between.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Belgium in their last internationals: won 2-0 at Italy. France in their last internationals: won 1-0 at Turkiye. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

France to Win Either Half: YesSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.43

FRA 9 of 10 (90%) · BEL 3 of 10 (30%)76.3%

France: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against · rule 2: the meetings back France: in the last 5 meetings, France won 5; in the last 4, France won 4

Double Chance: Draw or FranceMAININ CODES

1.27

FRA 8 of 10 (80%) · BEL 5 of 10 (50%)73.5%

France unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · H2H 5 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

France or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.19

FRA 3 of 5 (60%) · BEL 7 of 9 (78%)66.9%

France scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

France 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.40

FRA 3 of 5 (60%) · BEL 7 of 9 (78%)44.6%

France scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium trailed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

France or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%

1.47

BEL 3 of 10 (30%) · FRA 6 of 10 (60%)44.2%

Belgium: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · France: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 49% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

BEL 6 of 10 (60%) · FRA 8 of 10 (80%)76.6%

Belgium: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · France: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERHELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

BEL 8 of 10 (80%) · FRA 8 of 10 (80%)61.3%

Belgium: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · France: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

FRANCE GOALS

France Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

FRA 9 of 10 (90%) · BEL 6 of 10 (60%)81.8%

France scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

France Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

FRA 7 of 10 (70%) · BEL 2 of 10 (20%)39.7%

France scored over 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 5 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.19

BEL 8 of 10 (80%) · FRA 9 of 10 (90%)95.4%

Belgium: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · France: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - France Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.48

FRA 8 of 10 (80%) · BEL 3 of 10 (30%)74.9%

France: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Belgium: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

BEL 8 of 10 (80%) · FRA 6 of 10 (60%)72.3%

Belgium: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · France: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.1%

Belgium goals →

France goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-15%

1-110%

2-18%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.4%

1-50.7%

2-50.6%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

BELGIUMDWDWDDWWLW1.90 PPG

FRANCEWWWWWWWLLW2.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BELGIUM HOMExFRANCE AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.88CORNERS A GAME6.001.50CARDS A GAME1.122.10xG2.240.72xG AGAINST1.07

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

BELGIUM 0 · 0%DRAW 0FRANCE 5 · 100%

2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-07-10Belgium 0 – 1 France

2021-10-07Belgium 2 – 3 France

2024-07-01Belgium 0 – 1 France

2024-09-09Belgium 0 – 2 France

2024-10-14Belgium 1 – 2 France

TRENDS

Belgium have scored in 90% of their games.

France have scored in 90% of their games.

Belgium kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

France kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards