PFPAR

16:15Sun 18 Oct

REN

REN

Paris FC vs Rennes

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino, a neutral ground. The referee is Bastein Dechepy.

What's at stake. Paris FC are 6th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Lyon, 1 point clear of Lens. A win would take them above Lyon. Rennes are 4th on 13 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Monaco, 2 points clear of Lyon. A win would take them above Monaco.

Team news. Paris FC are without J. Ikone (thigh injury), N. Sangui (muscle injury), S. Chergui (knee injury), V. Marchetti (inactive), J. Ikone (thigh injury), N. Sangui (muscle injury).

Form. Paris FC have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Rennes have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Paris FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Paris FC average 13.8 shots (4.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Rennes score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Rennes average 17.0 shots (6.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. Rennes have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Paris FC 1-2 Rennes: Paris FC had 11 shots to 14, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The case against. Rennes's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The read. Paris FC or the draw. A tight game. Rennes are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Paris FC Over 0.5 goals (Paris FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Paris FC 1-1 Rennes (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

2nd Half - Double Chance: Paris FC or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.32

PAR 5 of 6 (83%) · REN 4 of 6 (67%)75%

Paris FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

Paris FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

PAR 6 of 6 (100%) · REN 2 of 6 (33%)73.3%

Paris FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

PAR 5 of 6 (83%) · REN 4 of 6 (67%)90.5%

Paris FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.53

PAR 5 of 6 (83%) · REN 2 of 6 (33%)74.3%

Paris FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.20

PAR 4 of 6 (67%) · REN 5 of 6 (83%)75%

Paris FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES

1.31

PAR 3 of 6 (50%) · REN 6 of 6 (100%)75%

Paris FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.16

PAR 4 of 6 (67%) · REN 5 of 6 (83%)75%

Paris FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Rennes's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Paris FC: only games against sides at Rennes's level · Rennes: only games against sides at Paris FC's level

Left off the list: Paris FC Over 0.5 goals (Paris FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

Paris FC goals →

Rennes goals ↓

0-010%

1-09%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-29%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 6

PARIS FCDWWDWL1.83 PPG

RENNESDWWWLW2.17 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PARIS FC HOMExRENNES AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME2.000.67CONCEDED A GAME1.6750%CLEAN SHEETS17%50%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.172.17CARDS A GAME2.171.64xG1.900.66xG AGAINST2.19

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.83POINTS A GAME2.40+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.46LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

PARIS FC OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

RENNES OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PARIS FCxRENNES

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.67.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

PARIS FC 0 · 0%DRAW 0RENNES 2 · 100%

2025-11-07Paris FC 0 – 1 Rennes

2026-05-10Paris FC 1 – 2 Rennes

TEAM NEWS

PARIS FC

Out: J. Ikone (Thigh Injury), N. Sangui (Muscle Injury), S. Chergui (Knee Injury), V. Marchetti (Inactive), J. Ikone (Thigh Injury), N. Sangui (Muscle Injury)

TRENDS

Paris FC failed to score in 50% of their games.

Rennes failed to score in 17% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards