Match details. PEC Zwolle host Go Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is set for Sun 18 Oct at 11:15 Lagos time at MAC³PARK Stadion in Zwolle. Danny Makkelie is the referee for this one.
What's at stake. PEC Zwolle sit 17th with 4 points from 8 games, two points behind ADO Den Haag and two clear of Willem II. A win takes them above ADO Den Haag. Go Ahead Eagles are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, one point behind Heerenveen and level with Excelsior. Three points would move them past Heerenveen.
Team news. PEC Zwolle will be without F. Krastev with an achilles tendon injury and Y. Namli with a knee injury. Go Ahead Eagles are missing J. Dirksen who is inactive and P. Saathof with a knee injury.
Form. PEC Zwolle have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight matches, picking up 0.5 points a game. Their last five ended L L L D L, and their competition run reads L L L D L W. Go Ahead Eagles have two wins, five draws and one loss from eight, averaging 1.4 points a game. They drew four and lost one of their last five, going D D D D L W in the league.
The numbers. PEC Zwolle score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game over their last eight, keeping one clean sheet and failing to score in four. They average 11.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards with 41% possession. Go Ahead Eagles score 2.4 and concede 2.1 a game over eight matches with zero clean sheets. They average 15.4 shots (6.2 on target), 6.4 corners and 0.9 cards with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. Across the last ten meetings, PEC Zwolle won two, drawn four and lost four to Go Ahead Eagles. Four of those ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. Go Ahead Eagles won two of the last four with two draws. The last clash on 5 Apr 2026 ended 0-5 to Go Ahead Eagles at PEC Zwolle, where the hosts had 16 shots to 15, 48% possession and one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. For me, both teams' goals for and against point to an open game here. Their overall records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Still, six of the last ten meetings between them went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals ahead of this match. Six of the last ten meetings between the two sides have actually gone under 2.5 goals.
The read. Go Ahead Eagles to win. An open game. Go Ahead Eagles are the stronger side on form and in the table, while both teams' records and head-to-head meetings also favour them. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner, no Unders); PEC Zwolle Under 1.5 goals (Go Ahead Eagles's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).