Match details. First Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Finn Park, Ballybofey.
What's at stake. Finn Harps FC are 10th on 25 points after 33 games, 11 points behind Treaty United. Kerry FC are 6th on 45 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Cobh Ramblers, level on points with Athlone Town. A win would take them above Cobh Ramblers. Finn Harps FC have nothing left to play for. Kerry FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Finn Harps FC have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Finn Harps FC have gone L L W L L L. Kerry FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Kerry FC have gone W L L W W D.
The numbers. Finn Harps FC score one and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Finn Harps FC average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Kerry FC score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kerry FC average 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Finn Harps FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Finn Harps FC won one, one was drawn and Kerry FC won two. The last time they met, on 24 Jul 2026, it finished Finn Harps FC 1-2 Kerry FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Finn Harps FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. Kerry FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kerry FC the likelier winners; Kerry FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kerry FC. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Kerry FC at 1.27, 72% on the records (Kerry FC unbeaten in 7 of 10; Finn Harps FC failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: Kerry FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Finn Harps FC 0-2 Kerry FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Kerry FC or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.23
FIN 8 of 10 (80%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)84.1%
Kerry FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level
Kerry FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.47
FIN 6 of 9 (67%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)80.5%
Kerry FC won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Finn Harps FC lost 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 2 of 5 · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 2
Kerry FC to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.47
FIN 8 of 10 (80%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)80.4%
Kerry FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Kerry FCMAINPAGE ONLY
1.29
FIN 7 of 10 (70%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)76.5%
Kerry FC unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finn Harps FC failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level
Kerry FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 3 of 5 (60%) · KER 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Kerry FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Finn Harps FC trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Kerry FC 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 3 of 5 (60%) · KER 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Kerry FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · Finn Harps FC trailed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Kerry FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
FIN 5 of 10 (50%) · KER 5 of 10 (50%)62.5%
Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 6 · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Kerry FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
FIN 6 of 10 (60%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)57.3%
Kerry FC won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finn Harps FC lost 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 9 of 10 (90%) · KER 10 of 10 (100%)95.1%
Finn Harps FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
FIN 7 of 10 (70%) · KER 10 of 10 (100%)90.4%
Finn Harps FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
FIN 5 of 10 (50%) · KER 7 of 10 (70%)78.6%
Finn Harps FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
KERRY FC GOALS
Kerry FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
FIN 8 of 10 (80%) · KER 10 of 10 (100%)71.4%
Kerry FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Finn Harps FC conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
FIN 7 of 10 (70%) · KER 9 of 10 (90%)76.7%
Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
FIN 7 of 10 (70%) · KER 8 of 10 (80%)72.9%
Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
FIN 5 of 10 (50%) · KER 8 of 10 (80%)65.4%
Finn Harps FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Kerry FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Finn Harps FC: only games against sides at Kerry FC's level · Kerry FC: only games against sides at Finn Harps FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–29.7%
Finn Harps FC goals →
Kerry FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-03%
2-02%
3-00.6%
4-00.1%
5-00.0%
0-18%
1-19%
2-14%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-38%
1-38%
2-34%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-45%
1-45%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-52%
1-52%
2-51%
3-50.4%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FINN HARPS FCLLLLLLLWLL0.30 PPG
KERRY FCWWWLDWWLLW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FINN HARPS FC HOMExKERRY FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.602.80CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS40%39%FAILED TO SCORE21%3.29CORNERS A GAME3.712.71CARDS A GAME2.23
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.55POINTS A GAME1.73-1.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.45+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.40.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.811LEAGUE GAMES11
Kerry FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
KERRY FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
72%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FINN HARPS FC OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
KERRY FC OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FINN HARPS FCxKERRY FC
6GAMES60.33SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.671.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.233%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%17%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FINN HARPS FC 4 · 40%DRAW 2KERRY FC 4 · 40%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-05-24Finn Harps FC 0 – 2 Kerry FC
2024-07-04Finn Harps FC 1 – 0 Kerry FC
2024-09-27Finn Harps FC 1 – 1 Kerry FC
2025-02-14Finn Harps FC 0 – 2 Kerry FC
2025-04-18Finn Harps FC 4 – 2 Kerry FC
2025-08-08Finn Harps FC 1 – 0 Kerry FC
2025-10-13Finn Harps FC 1 – 1 Kerry FC
2026-03-20Finn Harps FC 0 – 1 Kerry FC
TRENDS
Finn Harps FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Kerry FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Finn Harps FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Kerry FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards