ENGLAND AMATEUR - FA TROPHY
15:00Sat 26 Sep
GAI
GT
Bury FC vs Gainsborough Trinity
CLASS E
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. The points-per-game comparison favours Bury FC, so this is not a one-sided case. Gainsborough Trinity concede a little over one a game, Bury FC average three a game. Bury FC come in with four wins from their last six. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Bury FC or Over 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree93.6%
Backed by: Bury FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Gainsborough Trinity: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Bury FC or Over 2.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.2%
Backed by: Bury FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Gainsborough Trinity: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.8%
Backed by: Bury FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 at home · Gainsborough Trinity: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Bury FC or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.6%
Backed by: Bury FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Gainsborough Trinity: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
TEAM GOALS
Bury FC Over 0.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.6%
Backed by: Bury FC scored in 6 of 7 at home · Gainsborough Trinity conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
2 – 1 8%
Over 1.5 83.8%
Bury FC goals →
Gainsborough Trinity goals ↓
0-02%
1-04%
2-06%
3-05%
4-03%
5-02%
0-12%
1-16%
2-18%
3-17%
4-15%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-26%
3-25%
4-24%
5-22%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-33%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.9%
0-40.3%
1-40.9%
2-41%
3-41.0%
4-40.6%
5-40.3%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.3%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Bury FC score 4 and concede 0.57 (at home, 7 games), Gainsborough Trinity score 2.4 and concede 1.2 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
BURY FCWWLWLWLWWW2.10 PPG
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITYWWLDWLWLDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BURY FC HOMExGAINSBOROUGH TRINITY AWAY
3.20SCORED A GAME1.900.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS20%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME1.44+1.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES9
Bury FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
BURY FC OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BURY FCxGAINSBOROUGH TRINITY
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Bury FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 70% of their games.
Bury FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Gainsborough Trinity kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards