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Match details. UEFA Nations League. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Germany have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Serbia have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Germany score 3.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Germany average 16.8 shots (6.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Serbia score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Serbia average 12.5 shots (4.2 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. Germany to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Germany the likelier winners; Germany are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Germany. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Germany to win at 1.27, rated 70% (Germany won 4 of 6 at home; Serbia lost 5 of 10). The safer one: Serbia Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20 (97%). Predicted score: Germany 3-0 Serbia (12% chance).
The agreed story. Germany to win, an open game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Germany in their last internationals: lost 0-1 v Greece, drew 1-1 at Netherlands. Serbia in their last internationals: lost 1-2 v Netherlands, lost 1-2 v Greece. Too few internationals to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Germany to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.11
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 6 of 10 (60%)85.7%
Germany: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.13
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 4 of 10 (40%)78.9%
Germany: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Result or Match Result: GermanyPAGE ONLY
1.11
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 6 of 10 (60%)75.3%
Germany: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany to WinMAININ CODES
1.21
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 5 of 10 (50%)72%
Germany won 4 of 6 at home · Serbia lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: GermanyLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
GER 3 of 5 (60%) · SRB 3 of 5 (60%)64.5%
Germany scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · Serbia trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 4 of 10 (40%)60.6%
Germany: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 3 of 10 (30%)52.9%
Germany: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany win and over 2.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 66%
1.51
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 3 of 10 (30%)43.9%
Germany: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.09
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 7 of 10 (70%)82.9%
Germany: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 6 of 10 (60%)56.1%
Germany: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · each game weighed by who it was against
GERMANY GOALS
Germany Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 7 of 10 (70%)86.3%
Germany scored in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Germany Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
GER 4 of 6 (67%) · SRB 4 of 10 (40%)66.5%
Germany scored over 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Serbia conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
GER 6 of 6 (100%) · SRB 7 of 10 (70%)91.9%
Germany: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 9 of 10 (90%)86.3%
Germany: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Germany Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.23
GER 5 of 6 (83%) · SRB 4 of 10 (40%)75.9%
Germany: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Serbia: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
TRENDS
Germany have scored in 90% of their games.
Serbia have scored in 60% of their games.
Germany kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Serbia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.