Argentina vs Bolivia
Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Argentina have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Bolivia have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Argentina score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Argentina average 13.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. Bolivia score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bolivia average 11.5 shots (4.8 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Argentina have won seven, drawn none and lost one. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Argentina won four. The last time they met, on 16 Oct 2024, it finished Argentina 6-0 Bolivia: Argentina had 14 shots to 4, 72% of the ball, one yellow card.
The read. Argentina to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Argentina the likelier winners; Argentina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Argentina; the meetings favour Argentina. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Argentina Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, rated 77% (Argentina scored over 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home; Bolivia conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Argentina Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Argentina 3-0 Bolivia (11% chance).
The agreed story. Argentina or the draw, an open game.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).