Match details. National League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Hornchurch Stadium, London.
What's at stake. AFC Hornchurch are 11th on 15 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Sutton Utd, 1 point clear of Forest Green. A win would take them above Sutton Utd. Aldershot Town FC are 5th on 18 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Harrogate Town, level on points with Yeovil Town. A win would take them above Harrogate Town.
Form. AFC Hornchurch have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition AFC Hornchurch have gone L W L L L W. Aldershot Town FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition Aldershot Town FC have gone W L D W W D.
The numbers. AFC Hornchurch score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AFC Hornchurch average 4.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Aldershot Town FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Aldershot Town FC average 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. AFC Hornchurch's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Aldershot Town FC to win. A tight game. Aldershot Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aldershot Town FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aldershot Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Aldershot Town FC (the signs point different ways); Aldershot Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AFC Hornchurch 0-1 Aldershot Town FC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aldershot Town FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.42
AFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ALD 7 of 8 (88%)80.8%
Aldershot Town FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Hornchurch trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
Aldershot Town FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.30
AFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ALD 7 of 10 (70%)71.9%
Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AFC Hornchurch: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level
Aldershot Town FC (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 44%
2.25
AFC 5 of 7 (71%) · ALD 5 of 10 (50%)70.5%
Aldershot Town FC won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Hornchurch lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 4
Aldershot Town FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.90
AFC 3 of 5 (60%) · ALD 5 of 8 (62%)65.8%
Aldershot Town FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Hornchurch trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 10 of 10 (100%) · ALD 5 of 5 (100%)98.9%
AFC Hornchurch: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Aldershot Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
AFC 8 of 10 (80%) · ALD 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
AFC Hornchurch: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Aldershot Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level
AFC HORNCHURCH GOALS
AFC Hornchurch Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
AFC 6 of 10 (60%) · ALD 4 of 5 (80%)50%
AFC Hornchurch scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Aldershot Town FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level
ALDERSHOT TOWN FC GOALS
Aldershot Town FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
AFC 4 of 5 (80%) · ALD 7 of 10 (70%)71.9%
Aldershot Town FC scored in 4 of 5 away · AFC Hornchurch conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
AFC 9 of 10 (90%) · ALD 5 of 5 (100%)95%
AFC Hornchurch: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
AFC 8 of 10 (80%) · ALD 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
AFC Hornchurch: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Aldershot Town FC's level · Aldershot Town FC: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level
Left off the list: Aldershot Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: Aldershot Town FC (the numbers (43%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Aldershot Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–112%
AFC Hornchurch goals →
Aldershot Town FC goals ↓
0-011%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AFC HORNCHURCHWWLWWLLLWL1.50 PPG
ALDERSHOT TOWN FCWLDWDWWDLW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AFC HORNCHURCH HOMExALDERSHOT TOWN FC AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS10%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.60CORNERS A GAME4.001.80CARDS A GAME2.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AFC HORNCHURCH 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.80-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80-3.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.70.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10
Aldershot Town FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
AFC HORNCHURCH OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
ALDERSHOT TOWN FC OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AFC HORNCHURCHxALDERSHOT TOWN FC
5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME2.001.60CONCEDED A GAME0.801.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%0%BOTH SCORE60%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.810.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AFC Hornchurch have scored in 60% of their games.
Aldershot Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.
AFC Hornchurch kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Aldershot Town FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards