INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
13:00Sun 27 Sep
SRI
SL
Seychelles vs Sri Lanka
CLASS A
THE READ
Sri Lanka to win - 0-1 is the likeliest score. Seychelles have not won any of their last six. Goals go in against Seychelles, more than three a game, Sri Lanka score about one a game. Seychelles have no wins from six. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. Not much before half time, if the pattern holds. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Sri Lanka Over 0.5 Goals
WHY — 1 THING AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree1/1 lit
SEY CLEAN 10%
Seychelles keep a clean sheet in only 10%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Sri Lanka Over 0.5 GoalsMAIN
no price yet
1 of 1 agree75%
Backed by: Sri Lanka scored in 3 of 5 away · Seychelles conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Sri Lanka or Over 2.5 Goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree75%
Backed by: Sri Lanka: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Seychelles: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
0 – 1 13%
Seychelles goals →
Sri Lanka goals ↓
0-08%
1-05%
2-02%
3-00.6%
4-00.1%
5-00.0%
0-113%
1-111%
2-14%
3-11%
4-10.2%
5-10.0%
0-212%
1-210%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-37%
1-36%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-43%
1-43%
2-41%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.79 – 1.84. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
SEYCHELLESLLLLLLLLDL0.10 PPG
SRI LANKALDDDLWWLLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SEYCHELLES HOMExSRI LANKA AWAY
0.40SCORED A GAME1.003.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%
TRENDS
Seychelles have scored in 30% of their games.
Sri Lanka have scored in 60% of their games.
Seychelles kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Sri Lanka kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets