INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
17:30Sun 27 Sep
LIE
LIE
Malta vs Liechtenstein
CLASS A
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Malta to win - the stats agree: Malta are rated 1271 to 885 on the world rating, clearly the stronger side; backed by recent form and goal difference. Liechtenstein are open at the back, more than three a game, Malta struggle for goals, well under one a game. Malta have two wins in their last six. I do not see this being tight. The goals tend to come after the break with these two. Malta collect three a game in cards. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.09 or more.
PICKS · EVERY MARKETCOUNTED
RESULT
Malta to winLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
MLT 2/10 · LIE 5/652.3%
Malta won 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein lost 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 54% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 1.5
Over 1.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.32
MLT 8/10 · LIE 5/684.8%
Malta: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 2.5
Over 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
1.97
MLT 5/10 · LIE 5/667.8%
Malta: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS 3.5
Over 3.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 29%
3.40
MLT 3/10 · LIE 4/651.7%
Malta: over 3.5 goals in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein: over 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 47% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both teams score: NoCARD ONLY
1.35
MLT 7/10 · LIE 5/687.9%
Malta: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein: not both scored in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 88% · each game weighed by who it was against
MALTA GOALS
Malta over 0.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
no price yet
MLT 4/10 · LIE 5/661.8%
Malta scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
LIECHTENSTEIN GOALS
Liechtenstein under 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
no price yet
MLT 6/10 · LIE 6/669%
Liechtenstein scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 away · Malta conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
FIRST HALF GOALS
First half under 2.5 goalsNOT IN CODES
1.09
MLT 9/10 · LIE 5/681.8%
Malta's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein's games: first half under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CORNERS
Under 10.5 cornersCARD ONLY
no price yet
MLT 7/8 · LIE 5/681.5%
Malta's games: under 10.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein's games: under 10.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS (YELLOW 1, RED 2)
Under 4.5 cardsCARD ONLY
no price yet
MLT 4/8 · LIE 5/670.4%
Malta's games: under 4.5 cards in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liechtenstein's games: under 4.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
SHOTS (BOTH TEAMS)
Not enough counted games
–
Malta: 0 counted games with both sides' shots · Liechtenstein: 0 counted games with both sides' shots
Predicted score 0–2 (6%, the likeliest score that fits the read and the picks at 70% or more) · agrees with: not Malta to win (held by the odds board), not Over 3.5 goals (held by the odds board), not both score, over 1.5 · could not also fit: the call: Malta win
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 2 6%
Malta goals →
Liechtenstein goals ↓
0-06%
1-00.0%
2-00.0%
3-00.0%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-19%
1-119%
2-10.0%
3-10.0%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-26%
1-213%
2-215%
3-20.0%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-36%
2-37%
3-35%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-42%
4-40.9%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.6%
3-50.5%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Malta score 0.6 and concede 2.4 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Liechtenstein score 0.33 and concede 3.83 (away, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
The odds board holds Malta to win, so the scores where it wins are left out, rescaled to 100%.
FORM · LAST 10
MALTALDLDLWLLLW0.80 PPG
LIECHTENSTEINLLLLLLLWLL0.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MALTA HOMExLIECHTENSTEIN AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME0.202.40CONCEDED A GAME3.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.38CORNERS A GAME0.833.12CARDS A GAME1.501.17xG0.152.32xG AGAINST2.57
TRENDS
Malta have scored in 40% of their games.
Liechtenstein have scored in 20% of their games.
Malta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Liechtenstein kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards