Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Universidad de Concepcion have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Huachipato have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L.
The numbers. Universidad de Concepcion score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Universidad de Concepcion average 5.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Huachipato score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Huachipato average 3.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Universidad de Concepcion's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Huachipato to win. Huachipato are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Huachipato.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 Huachipato (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 7 of 7 (100%) · HUA 6 of 7 (86%)94.7%
Universidad de Concepcion: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Huachipato: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Universidad de Concepcion: only games against sides at Huachipato's level · Huachipato: only games against sides at Universidad de Concepcion's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 7 of 7 (100%) · HUA 5 of 7 (71%)89.3%
Universidad de Concepcion: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Huachipato: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Universidad de Concepcion: only games against sides at Huachipato's level · Huachipato: only games against sides at Universidad de Concepcion's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 7 of 7 (100%) · HUA 4 of 7 (57%)84.4%
Universidad de Concepcion: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Huachipato: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Universidad de Concepcion: only games against sides at Huachipato's level · Huachipato: only games against sides at Universidad de Concepcion's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
UNI 4 of 7 (57%) · HUA 5 of 7 (71%)67%
Universidad de Concepcion: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Huachipato: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Universidad de Concepcion: only games against sides at Huachipato's level · Huachipato: only games against sides at Universidad de Concepcion's level
HUACHIPATO GOALS
Huachipato Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
UNI 5 of 7 (71%) · HUA 7 of 7 (100%)76.8%
Huachipato scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Universidad de Concepcion conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Huachipato: only games against sides at Universidad de Concepcion's level · Universidad de Concepcion: only games against sides at Huachipato's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.4%
Universidad de… goals →
Huachipato goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCIONLLWLLLLLWL0.60 PPG
HUACHIPATODWLLLLDWLL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCION HOMExHUACHIPATO AWAY
0.77SCORED A GAME1.361.68CONCEDED A GAME1.7710%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.95CORNERS A GAME3.453.55CARDS A GAME2.36
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.60POINTS A GAME0.83-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCION OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
HUACHIPATO OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCIONxHUACHIPATO
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Universidad de Concepcion have scored in 50% of their games.
Huachipato have scored in 80% of their games.
Universidad de Concepcion kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Huachipato kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards