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COLOMBIA - LIGA DIMAYOR
Independiente Medellin crestIMIND
02:05Wed 30 Sep
MILMillonarios FC crestMF

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios FC

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
86
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Independiente Medellin crestIMvMillonarios FC crestMF
Under 3.5 Goals
Independiente Medellin v Millonarios FC
Colombia - Liga DIMAYOR · 02:05
1.32odds
76%book
+10edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 4. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 02:05 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin. The referee is Jairo Londono.

What's at stake. Independiente Medellin are 7th on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Santa Fe, 1 point clear of Deportes Tolima. A win would take them above Santa Fe. Millonarios FC are 4th on 20 points after 12 games, level on points with Bucaramanga, 1 point clear of Atletico Nacional. A win would take them above Bucaramanga.

Form. Independiente Medellin have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Independiente Medellin have gone L W D L W W. Millonarios FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition Millonarios FC have gone D W W D D L.

The numbers. Independiente Medellin score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Independiente Medellin average 16.6 shots (6.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Millonarios FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Millonarios FC average 15.3 shots (7.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Independiente Medellin have won three, drawn four and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Independiente Medellin won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 2 Feb 2026, it finished Independiente Medellin 0-0 Millonarios FC: Independiente Medellin had 12 shots to 12, 49% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 82% on the records (Independiente Medellin: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Millonarios FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: Millonarios FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Independiente Medellin or Both Teams Score (no result call); Millonarios FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1-1 Millonarios FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 5 of 5 (100%) · MIL 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Independiente Medellin: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 4 of 5 (80%) · MIL 5 of 6 (83%)87.2%
Independiente Medellin: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.32
IND 4 of 5 (80%) · MIL 5 of 6 (83%)86.3%
Independiente Medellin: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
IND 3 of 5 (60%) · MIL 5 of 6 (83%)56.9%
Independiente Medellin: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC: both scored in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level
MILLONARIOS FC GOALS
Millonarios FC Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.38
IND 6 of 6 (100%) · MIL 4 of 5 (80%)71.6%
Millonarios FC scored in 6 of 6 away · Independiente Medellin conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 5 of 5 (100%) · MIL 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Independiente Medellin's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Millonarios FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Millonarios FC's level · Millonarios FC: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Independiente Medellin or Both Teams Score (no result call); Millonarios FC win or both teams score (no result call); Millonarios FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Independiente Medellin or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
Independiente Medellin goals →
Millonarios FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINWWWLWWLDWL1.90 PPG
MILLONARIOS FCWDWDLDDWWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN HOMExMILLONARIOS FC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.501.30CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS40%14%FAILED TO SCORE16%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.003.40CARDS A GAME2.29
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME1.70+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
MILLONARIOS FC OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINxMILLONARIOS FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.07.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 3 · 30%DRAW 4MILLONARIOS FC 3 · 30%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-21Independiente Medellin 2 – 2 Millonarios FC
2023-06-17Independiente Medellin 1 – 2 Millonarios FC
2023-09-19Independiente Medellin 1 – 1 Millonarios FC
2023-11-26Independiente Medellin 0 – 1 Millonarios FC
2023-12-01Independiente Medellin 2 – 1 Millonarios FC
2024-01-21Independiente Medellin 0 – 5 Millonarios FC
2024-07-19Independiente Medellin 1 – 1 Millonarios FC
2025-02-16Independiente Medellin 1 – 0 Millonarios FC
TRENDS
Independiente Medellin have scored in 80% of their games.
Millonarios FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Independiente Medellin kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Millonarios FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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