Match details. It's a Liga DIMAYOR Clausura - 3 clash on Tue 29 Sep, 21:30 Lagos time. The game is at Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas in Pereira.
What's at stake. Deportivo Pereira sit 18th with 8 points from 9 games, just a point behind Fortaleza and level with Deportivo Pasto. A win would lift them above Fortaleza. Independiente Santa Fe are 8th on 16 points after 10 games, two points behind Deportes Tolima and two clear of Llaneros. A win would see them jump over Deportes Tolima.
Form. Deportivo Pereira have one win, five draws and four losses in their last ten, about 0.8 points a game. Their last five are D D L D L, and in this competition they've gone D D L D L W. Independiente Santa Fe have four wins, four draws and two losses in their last ten, about 1.6 points a game. Their recent run is L W W D W, and in this competition they've gone L W W D W D.
The numbers. Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 1.2 per game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. They average 8.8 shots (2.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, holding 48% of possession. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 and concede 1.1 per game over their last ten, also with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In their last ten meetings Deportivo Pereira have won three, drawn five and lost two. Five of those games went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in six. In the last four meetings three were draws and Santa Fe won one. Their most recent clash on 28 Jan 2026 ended 2-2, with Pereira having 7 shots to 19, 28% possession and ten yellow cards.
The read. Independiente Santa Fe to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Independiente Santa Fe the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Independiente Santa Fe at 1.24, 80% on the records (Independiente Santa Fe unbeaten in 8 of 10; Deportivo Pereira FC SA failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: Independiente Santa Fe or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Independiente Santa Fe or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Independiente Santa Fe or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Pereira FC SA 0-1 Independiente Santa Fe (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).