INTERNATIONAL YOUTH - U20 FRIENDLY GAMES
16:30Fri 25 Sep
GER
GER
France vs Germany
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
65
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 2.5 Goals
France v Germany
1.57odds
64%book
+1edge
1/2angles
EDGE PICKFrance Under 1.5 goals · 62.3% · @1.70
Book 59% · Us 62% +3
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Germany, but the likeliest score is 1-1. France concede one and a half a game, Germany average three a game. Three wins from five for France lately. The final goals call favours over 2.5. Germany have won four of their last five. The bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 65.4%.
Bet: Over 2.5 Goals · Edge: France Under 1.5 goals
WHY — 1 THING AGREE, 1 AGAINST
Angles that agree1/2 lit
GER O2.5 75%
GER CLEAN 50%
Germany go over 2.5 in 75% of their games
Germany keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games, so France have to break them down
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
Germany Multigoals: 1-3NOT IN CODES
1.26
70.6%
Book 79% · Us 71% -8 price too short
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Draw or GermanyNOT IN CODES
1.45
1 of 1 agree69%
Book 69% · Us 69% 0
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
TEAM HOME UNDER 1.5
France Under 1.5 goalsEDGE
1.70
1 of 1 agree62.3%
Book 59% · Us 62% +3
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Germany Over 0.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree90.5%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Germany or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.6%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Germany win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree88.4%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
3 of 4 agree84.6%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Germany or Over 2.5 Goals
no price yet
2 of 2 agree77.5%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
DC1UP X2
Germany or Draw (1UP)NOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree69%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
ONEUP AWAY
Germany 1UPNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree66%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
DRAW NO BET
Germany (Draw No Bet)NOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree64.1%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
MATCH RESULT
Germany to WinNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree57%
Backed by: Germany are clearly the stronger side on recent form (2.4 points a game to 1.8).
WHY WE PASS
Germany Win & Over 1.5 — no bet. France saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 8 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Germany or draw and over 1.5 goals — no bet. France saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 8 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Germany Over 1.5 goals — no bet. France saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 8 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 10%
Over 1.5 84.6%
France goals →
Germany goals ↓
0-04%
1-04%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-17%
1-110%
2-16%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-210%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-43%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41.0%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.9%
3-50.4%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.32 – 2.04. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
FRANCELLWWWLWW1.88 PPG
GERMANYWWWWLLWW2.25 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FRANCE HOMExGERMANY AWAY
2.12SCORED A GAME3.001.50CONCEDED A GAME0.6238%BOTH SCORED38%38%CLEAN SHEETS50%
TRENDS
France have scored in 75% of their games.
Germany have scored in 88% of their games.
France kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
Germany kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets