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SubscribeTHE READ
New Zealand to win - the stats agree: New Zealand are clearly the stronger side on recent form (1.9 points a game to 0.9); backed by goal difference. Not much gets past China PR, one and a half a game, New Zealand average more than three a game. China PR's last six are not bad, three wins. The final goals call favours over 2.5. Not much before half time, if the pattern holds. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.09 or more.
PICKS · EVERY MARKETCOUNTED
RESULT
New Zealand to winLEANCARD ONLY
2.10
CHN 3/6 · NZL 6/1058.3%
New Zealand won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · China PR lost 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 65%
GOALS 1.5
Over 1.5 goalsNOT IN CODES
1.37
CHN 4/6 · NZL 10/1082.2%
China PR: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · New Zealand: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
GOALS 2.5
Over 2.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLY
2.20
CHN 1/6 · NZL 9/1053.9%
China PR: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6 at home · New Zealand: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
GOALS 3.5
Under 3.5 goalsLEANCARD ONLYHELD · the odds board 81%
1.24
CHN 5/6 · NZL 3/1057.8%
China PR: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · New Zealand: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both teams score: NoLEANCARD ONLY
1.79
CHN 5/6 · NZL 5/1067.8%
China PR: not both scored in 5 of 6 at home · New Zealand: not both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
CHINA PR GOALS
China PR under 1.5 goalsCARD ONLY
1.31
CHN 5/6 · NZL 6/1072.8%
China PR scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 at home · New Zealand conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
NEW ZEALAND GOALS
New Zealand over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.29
CHN 3/6 · NZL 9/1073.3%
New Zealand scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · China PR conceded in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
FIRST HALF GOALS
First half over 0.5 goalsNOT IN CODES
1.46
CHN 5/6 · NZL 9/1086.1%
China PR's games: first half over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · New Zealand's games: first half over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Under 12.5 cornersTHINCARD ONLY
no price yet
CHN 3/3 · NZL 2/383.3%
China PR's games: under 12.5 corners in 3 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · New Zealand's games: under 12.5 corners in 2 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83%
CARDS (YELLOW 1, RED 2)
Under 3.5 cardsTHINCARD ONLY
no price yet
CHN 2/3 · NZL 3/383.3%
China PR's games: under 3.5 cards in 2 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · New Zealand's games: under 3.5 cards in 3 of 3 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83%
SHOTS (BOTH TEAMS)
Not enough counted games
–
China PR: 0 counted games with both sides' shots · New Zealand: 3 counted games with both sides' shots
Predicted score 1–3 (7.7%, the likeliest score that fits the read and the picks at 70% or more) · agrees with: not Under 3.5 goals (held by the odds board), the call: New Zealand win, over 1.5, China PR under 1.5, New Zealand over 0.5
THE NUMBERS
CHINA PR HOMExNEW ZEALAND AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME3.701.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE67%5.33CORNERS A GAME3.331.67CARDS A GAME1.33
TRENDS
China PR have scored in 40% of their games.
New Zealand have scored in 90% of their games.
China PR kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
New Zealand kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.