INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
12:35Sun 27 Sep
NZL
NZ
China PR vs New Zealand
CLASS A
THE READ
New Zealand to win - 0-2 is the likeliest score. China PR concede one and a half a game, New Zealand average more than three a game. Three wins from six for China PR lately. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. The first half tends to be quiet with these two. Not many cards in this one. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: New Zealand Over 0.5 Goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
NZL SCORE 90%
CHN CLEAN 30%
New Zealand score in 90% of their games
China PR keep a clean sheet in only 30%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.27
1 of 1 agree76.7%
Book 79% · Us 77% -2 price too short
Backed by: China PR: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · New Zealand: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
1 of 1 agree82.2%
Backed by: China PR: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · New Zealand: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
New Zealand Over 0.5 GoalsMAIN
no price yet
2 of 2 agree73.3%
Backed by: New Zealand scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · China PR conceded in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
0 – 2 18%
Over 1.5 82.2%
China PR goals →
New Zealand goals ↓
0-010%
1-03%
2-00.8%
3-00.1%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-118%
1-18%
2-12%
3-10.2%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-218%
1-27%
2-22%
3-20.2%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-312%
1-35%
2-31%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-46%
1-42%
2-40.5%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-52%
1-51.0%
2-50.2%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.42 – 1.98. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
CHINA PRLLLLWLLWWL0.90 PPG
NEW ZEALANDWWWWWLWDLL1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHINA PR HOMExNEW ZEALAND AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME3.701.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE67%
TRENDS
China PR have scored in 40% of their games.
New Zealand have scored in 90% of their games.
China PR kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
New Zealand kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets